Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.501023 3.720157 3.951962 4.216462 4.511192 4.831012 5.206342
2025-10-05 3.140615 3.448596 3.792887 4.210376 4.708635 5.291826 6.037844
2025-10-12 2.958027 3.322138 3.745214 4.281463 4.955761 5.794232 6.948160
2025-10-19 2.819542 3.222172 3.704377 4.337796 5.169761 6.260185 7.864708
2025-10-26 2.689708 3.116338 3.639792 4.347795 5.312502 6.636303 8.707042
2025-11-02 2.550601 2.986216 3.530707 4.284201 5.341526 6.848407 9.332622
2025-11-09 2.415149 2.850832 3.403423 4.182237 5.301573 6.948043 9.788386
2025-11-16 2.312044 2.750326 3.314006 4.122591 5.312347 7.118771 10.385134
2025-11-23 2.252103 2.702016 3.289680 4.149599 5.449449 7.497909 11.420412
2025-11-30 2.193296 2.651481 3.258273 4.162302 5.563180 7.849898 12.482396
2025-12-07 2.094545 2.542688 3.140733 4.040733 5.455115 7.811241 12.747257
2025-12-14 2.014500 2.455970 3.049743 3.952643 5.392557 7.843342 13.168021
2025-12-21 1.951340 2.391535 2.989377 3.910349 5.406599 8.024699 13.993980
2025-12-28 1.904409 2.347763 2.956483 3.908090 5.487361 8.341650 15.242043
2026-01-04 1.880307 2.334361 2.965968 3.971128 5.683680 8.908328 17.334243
2026-01-11 1.854030 2.316490 2.967536 4.020920 5.860697 9.465429 19.665356
2026-01-18 1.818303 2.283588 2.944996 4.029752 5.963824 9.884099 21.800371
2026-01-25 1.767646 2.227424 2.885157 3.973556 5.940978 10.021815 23.071703
2026-02-01 1.711039 2.160942 2.807292 3.883318 5.846653 9.984239 23.701318
2026-02-08 1.666966 2.111374 2.753343 3.830455 5.819919 10.101585 25.010505
2026-02-15 1.644397 2.092387 2.745221 3.854398 5.944151 10.600892 28.257058
2026-02-22 1.619915 2.069723 2.730375 3.865656 6.043854 11.058678 31.753052
2026-03-01 1.568423 2.005766 2.649238 3.757813 5.893526 10.847407 31.705532